The Rhodium Market
Rhodium price drivers
An introduction to rhodium
Rhodium is still the most effective catalytic metal to cut NOx emissions and so it remains a key component of three-way catalysts for gasoline vehicles, where demand growth is robust. As a result, rhodium demand is set to increase, whilst a sustained weaker market for platinum could further cut primary rhodium supplies, although more recycling will help to offset some of this shortfall.
Rhodium demand has suffered losses in both gasoline and diesel powertrains. The price spike to over $10,000/oz in 2008 put the metal firmly in the substitution zone. Both platinum and rhodium lost out as lean NOx traps (LNTs), which seemed the preferred emissions aftertreatment choice for Euro 6 prior to 2008, have been partly engineered out through a combination of price volatility and increasingly stringent CO2 targets. Automakers have instead taken well-proven selective catalytic reduction (SCR) technology from heavy-duty vehicles and downsized it for cars. Although expensive and requiring maintenance (urea top-ups), SCRs have less of an impact on fuel efficiency (and so CO2 emissions) compared to LNTs.
Rhodium’s price volatility has led to loadings being cut to the bare minimum, and palladium has replaced some rhodium.
Rhodium price news and insights
The squeeze is on: Managing the margins
10 September 2024 | Dr Ralph Grimble
PGM miners’ revenues have collapsed with the fall in palladium and rhodium prices. The little-mentioned chrome has become an important contributor.
A Post-Covid Autocatalyst Recycling Assessment
2 August 2024 | Beresford Clarke
SFA has released its latest ground-breaking study, which offers the most in-depth and unparalleled evaluation of the autocatalyst recycling market.
Stalling BEV market share and political shifts put the EU’s ICE vehicle ban at risk
17 June 2024 | SFA (Oxford) & Heraeus
Platinum catches a tailwind from stronger rand
21 May 2024 | SFA (Oxford) & Heraeus
Solar silver demand growth to moderate this year but still hit a new record
15 April 2024 | SFA (Oxford) & Heraeus
Palladium demand supported for longer after new US emissions law changes
25 March 2024 | SFA (Oxford) & Heraeus
Rhodium price in context, 1985 to 2023
Rhodium market balance
koz | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023f | |
Primary rhodium supply | |||||||||
Regional | |||||||||
South Africa | 615 | 620 | 625 | 640 | 475 | 670 | 595 | 585 | |
Russia | 70 | 75 | 75 | 80 | 80 | 75 | 75 | 70 | |
Zimbabwe | 45 | 45 | 40 | 40 | 45 | 40 | 45 | 45 | |
North America | 25 | 25 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 15 | 15 | |
Other | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
Total | 765 | 775 | 790 | 790 | 630 | 815 | 735 | 720 | |
Rhodium demand and recycling |
|||||||||
Rhodium autocatalyst demand | |||||||||
Gross Rh autocatalyst demand | 835 | 870 | 900 | 1,010 | 925 | 920 | 940 | 930 | |
Rh autocatalyst recycling | 280 | 305 | 335 | 355 | 330 | 365 | 310 | 305 | |
Net Rh autocatalyst demand | 555 | 565 | 565 | 655 | 590 | 550 | 630 | 625 | |
Industrial rhodium demand | 180 | 155 | 210 | 170 | 135 | 125 | 125 | 140 | |
Other rhodium recycling | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | |
Gross rhodium demand | 1,015 | 1,025 | 1,110 | 1,180 | 1,060 | 1,040 | 1,065 | 1,075 | |
Rhodium recycling | 280 | 305 | 340 | 355 | 335 | 370 | 310 | 310 | |
Net rhodium demand | 735 | 720 | 775 | 820 | 725 | 670 | 755 | 765 | |
Rhodium market balance | |||||||||
Rhodium balance (before ETFs) | 30 | 55 | 0 | -30 | -100 | 145 | -15 | -45 | |
Rhodium ETFs (stock allocation) | 5 | -20 | -50 | -15 | -10 | -5 | 0 | ||
Rhodium balance after ETFs | 25 | 75 | 45 | -15 | -90 | 150 | -15 | -45 | |
Rhodium price history | |||||||||
Rhodium price (USD/oz) | 953 | 694 | 1,107 | 2,219 | 3,096 | 11,200 | 15,479 | ||
Rhodium price (GBP/oz) | 624 | 515 | 856 | 1,670 | 3,064 | 8,679 | 12,485 | ||
Rhodium price (EUR/oz) | 858 | 628 | 975 | 1,886 | 3,500 | 9,745 | 14,663 | ||
Rhodium price (CNY/oz) | 5,979 | 4,616 | 7,449 | 14,747 | 27,128 | 76,778 | 103,657 | ||
Rhodium price (ZAR/oz) | 12,000 | 10,184 | 14,757 | 29,651 | 56,736 | 182,407 | 251,503 | ||
Rhodium price (JPY/oz) | 111,239 | 75,584 | 124,122 | 245,435 | 425,105 | 1,191,458 | 1,211,880 | ||
Source: SFA (Oxford). Updated May 2023.
Linked rhodium market reports
SFA (Oxford) provides regular bespoke market intelligence reports on rhodium as well as in-depth studies on recycling, metal flows and price setting.
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Henk de Hoop
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Dr Ralph Grimble
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Oksan Atilan
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